
OPEC members recommended an additional 1.5 million bpd cut in combined OPEC and non-OPEC output through June 30, split 2-to-1 between OPEC and non-OPEC producers. The group also lowered its 2020 oil demand growth forecast to 0.48 million bpd.
Deeper supply cuts paired with weaker demand forecasts give mixed signals, but the extra curtailment is supportive for crude and energy-linked input costs.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.