December palm oil on Bursa Malaysia rose 45 ringgit, or 0.97%, to 4,682 ringgit a metric ton, the highest close since September 24. The rally is attributed to El Niño supply fears outweighing stock levels.
El Niño threatens palm yields, supporting palm oil prices and vegetable oil feed ingredients.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.