
Malaysian palm oil futures rose more than 3% to 4,140 ringgit a tonne, their highest since September 1, and gained for a fourth straight session. Buying was driven by fears that India may raise palm oil import taxes and by heavy rains disrupting harvests and logistics in Malaysia and Indonesia.
Heavy rain that curbs output and possible higher Indian import duties both tighten near-term palm supply and demand, supporting prices.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.