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Malaysia's Movement Control Order is expected to cut domestic biodiesel output, and Thailand's quarantine measures could have a similar effect. Indonesia's palm biodiesel output should stay above 2019 levels thanks to the B30 program.
Malaysia's B20 mandate has been postponed, possibly beyond the third quarter.
Weaker Malaysian biodiesel demand and a delayed B20 mandate reduce palm oil offtake, which is bearish for palm oil prices, while Indonesia's steady B30 demand partly offsets the impact.
kpk.gov.myMay 8, 2020After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
