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Indonesia issued regulations lowering the maximum crude palm oil levy to $200 per tonne until July 31, with the rate set to rise in August. The combined levy and tax ceiling is reduced to $488 per tonne, and the rules tie reduced rates to domestic cooking oil distribution.
The temporary cut boosts near-term export supply, but the scheduled August increase may encourage front-loaded shipments, tightening supply later and supporting palm oil prices.
kpk.gov.myJun 16, 2022After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Indonesia's lowered palm oil export levy increases palm export supply and lowers global vegetable oil prices, pressuring soybean oil as a substitute.
