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A ProAg review says the fertilizer industry has been only limitedly affected by COVID-19. China's production has recovered after lockdown, though Hubei's phosphoric acid output losses turned China from a DAP exporter into a net importer.
Urea was less affected.
China's shift to DAP importer status and its recovering urea output bear on global phosphate and nitrogen supply balances.
proag.comJun 26, 2020After 107 past neutral events of any kind, Urea moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 11 past bullish disease events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half 0.0% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
