August lean hog futures dropped below 48 cents per pound on June 26 after USDA's Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report showed herds 5% larger than a year earlier, above expectations. Heavyweight hog numbers rose most sharply, and the column notes gold near $1,800 an ounce.
A surplus of slaughter-ready hogs, combined with processing bottlenecks, points to continued weakness in hog prices and feed demand from the sector.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.