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USTR Robert Lighthizer told Congress China had bought about $10 billion of US agricultural goods, well short of the $36.5 billion phase one commitment. Analysts note that export sales are running counter-seasonally higher and that China would need heavy purchases in the fourth quarter.
Soybeans could account for 60% or more of the purchases.
Heavy fourth-quarter Chinese buying would support US soybean and corn export demand and prices into the new crop marketing year. Cancellations remain a risk if relations sour.
dtnpf.comKatie Micik. DehlingerJun 19, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
