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Morocco's OCP group said it could stop selling fertilizer in the US if a countervailing duty is imposed on its imports, and would redirect exports to other markets. OCP plans to challenge the petition, which was filed by Mosaic, and says its products receive no state subsidy.
If OCP exits the US, global phosphate supply would be redirected rather than lost, but US buyers could face tighter DAP and MAP availability and higher prices.
en.yabiladi.comLatifa BabasJul 24, 2020After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
OCP's warning that it could stop selling in the US and redirect exports signals potential US supply tightness and trade flow disruption, adding to bullish DAP sentiment.
