
The Australian and New Zealand dollars reached fresh highs against the US dollar on Friday, with the Aussie hitting a 17-month peak. NAB raised its Aussie and kiwi forecasts and sees a multi-year US dollar downtrend.
The moves followed a weaker US dollar after President Trump suggested delaying the November election.
A weaker US dollar and stronger Aussie raise the cost of US-priced imports for Australian and NZ buyers while making US-origin feed ingredients relatively cheaper for them. Dollar weakness can also support dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.