
The dollar fell to an almost two-year low against the euro on July 27 as US coronavirus cases rose, and ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting expected to reaffirm near-zero rates. The euro traded at about $1.1726 after reaching $1.1781.
Florida had become the state with the second-highest number of cases.
A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities such as grains and oilseeds, while expectations of prolonged low US rates keep the currency under pressure.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.