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Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing says USDA's cut of 2020 US corn acres to 92 million from 97 million is significant, but soybean acreage increased less than expected. She argues soybeans are the fundamental leader, with weather in August as the key risk.
She sees November soybean futures possibly reaching $9.25 to $9.50 if China keeps buying.
Lower corn acreage and modest soybean acreage tighten the balance sheet, supporting soybean prices if Chinese demand holds. The analyst's view reflects an outlook rather than a new supply change.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampJul 2, 2020After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
