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Ethanol producers continue to struggle as fuel demand slides during the COVID-19 pandemic, and biofuel groups are waiting for relief. The EPA has missed its deadline by a month for proposed 2021 Renewable Volume Obligations, while Congress debates a Senate bill giving USDA discretion over $20 billion in direct payments to agricultural processors.
Delayed RFS volumes and uncertain aid leave biofuel demand for corn and soyoil clouded, which weighs on ethanol margins and the feedstock outlook.
dtnpf.comTodd NeeleyJul 29, 2020After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
