
People familiar with the matter say China is set to buy about 40 million tons of US soybeans in 2020, a record and roughly 25% above 2017 levels under the phase-one trade deal. Soy futures in Chicago climbed to a seven-month high on the report.
Lower prices are helping China boost purchases.
A record Chinese import program would absorb a large share of US supply and support soybean and meal prices, tightening availability for feed buyers.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Bloomberg report that China expects record US soybean purchases of about 40 million tons lifted Chicago futures to a seven-month high on Aug 26.