
Chinese buyers contracted 588,000 metric tons of U.S. soybeans for 2020-21 delivery in a USDA daily export sale report, following several large new-crop purchases earlier that week. Analysts expect China could buy up to 30 million tons of U.S. soybeans over the final four months of the year.
Large new-crop export sales to China tighten U.S. soybean supplies and support soybean and meal prices, especially while Brazil supplies run tight.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Large Chinese new-crop soybean purchases and expectations of up to 30 million tons raise crush demand and support soymeal futures.