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USDA's September Hogs and Pigs report put the US swine herd at 79.099 million head, up 0.7% from a year earlier and above trade expectations. The report showed the heavyweight inventory groups were larger than expected, while lightweight groups were smaller.
Lean hog futures closed higher the day after the release.
A larger-than-expected herd points to heavier hog supplies and record slaughter, which is bearish for prices, though smaller lightweight groups limit the downside.
nationalhogfarmer.comRon PlainSep 28, 2020After 159 past bearish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
