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USDA's quarterly Hogs and Pigs report showed breeding herd and total inventory both up 3% from a year earlier, with the June 1 total at a record high. South Dakota's breeding herd rose 18%, which the source links to new packing plants.
A larger breeding herd points to more hogs ahead, adding supply pressure that is bearish for hog prices and related feed demand.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.