APK-Inform reports that Ukraine and Russia normally account for about 30% and 35% of world wheat and barley exports. The 2020/21 forecasts for grain production and exports have been affected by weather and COVID-19 quarantine restrictions.
Black Sea supply constraints from weather and quarantine rules tighten the export balance for wheat and barley, which supports world feed and milling grain prices.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.