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S&P Global reported that US refiners are converting idle refining capacity to renewable diesel, supported by federal incentives and California low-carbon rules. It estimated about 1 million b/d of North American refining capacity will close.
Renewable diesel conversions increase demand for soybean oil, tallow and used cooking oil as feedstocks. This supports vegetable oil prices, while the capacity cuts tighten hydrocarbon refining margins.
spglobal.comNov 4, 2020After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
