
Three OPEC+ sources told Reuters the group is likely to keep its oil output policy unchanged at its September 1 meeting and continue the planned 400,000 bpd monthly increase. The group had agreed the increases for the next several months.
A continued 400,000 bpd monthly add keeps crude supply rising into a recovering demand market, which caps upside for crude and, through energy costs, feeds into biofuel and freight economics for feed buyers.
After 175 past neutral policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.