
Sources say OPEC+ is unlikely to change oil output policy at the August 1 JMMC meeting. The group is currently cutting 5.86 million bpd, about 5.7% of global demand.
In June it agreed to extend 3.66 million bpd of cuts by a year.
An unchanged policy means no added supply near term, which underpins crude prices and energy costs for the feed chain. The result is neutral to mildly supportive for crude-linked commodities.
After 175 past neutral policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.