The yuan closed at a two-week high of 6.5684 per dollar on Dec 2, 2020, as the dollar hovered near a 2.5-year low. Gains were capped after President-elect Biden said he would not immediately cancel the Phase 1 trade deal or remove tariffs on Chinese goods.
The PBOC lifted its midpoint rate by the most in nearly a month.
Signals that the Phase 1 purchase commitments and tariffs will stay in place support expectations for continued US farm export flows to China. A weaker dollar also makes dollar-priced grains cheaper for Chinese buyers.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.