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China's yuan edged higher on Tuesday as seasonal corporate demand for the currency outweighed broad dollar strength and a weaker-than-expected PBOC midpoint guidance. Traders expected corporate conversion demand to persist through year-end 2021.
A firmer yuan lowers the cost of Chinese import purchases of feed grains and meal priced in dollars, but the effect on prices is small and short-lived.
After 362 past bearish macro events, USDCNY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.