The yuan firmed against the US dollar on December 28, 2017, helped by a stronger PBOC midpoint of 6.5412 and broad dollar weakness as US Treasury yields fell. The currency was on track for its steepest annual gain since 2008.
A weaker dollar and firmer yuan make dollar-priced feed imports cheaper for China, which can support its buying of US soybeans and meal. The effect on grain prices is indirect and modest.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.