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Pictet's head of emerging market debt, Mary-Thérèse Barton, says Brazil could surprise investors in 2021 if it addresses its fiscal and domestic challenges. She notes that the fiscal stimulus and very low interest rates have weighed on the real.
She argues the currency will remain driven by domestic issues.
This is an investment opinion rather than a new event. Its impact on feed prices is limited, although a firmer real would make Brazilian soy and corn cheaper in dollar terms.
citywire.comChris SloleyDec 14, 2020After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
