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U.S. Wheat Associates reports that limited export elevation capacity is keeping U.S. wheat export basis high for October 2020 to February 2021 deliveries. Chinese purchases have been very large, with wheat sales to China at 2.06 million tonnes.
High export basis raises the cost of US wheat in export markets, and basis is expected to ease from March 2021 as seasonal Chinese demand falls.
uswheat.orgDec 10, 2020After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 22 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +3.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
