
The US Department of Commerce lowered the preliminary countervailing duty rate on Moroccan phosphate fertilizer imports to 16.88% from 23.46%, after OCP Group said the initial rate contained an arithmetic error. OCP and the Moroccan government said they will keep cooperating with US authorities.
A lower duty eases the import cost squeeze on US phosphate supply, modestly reducing upward pressure on DAP and MAP prices.
After 40 past bearish trade events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.5%), and -2.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.