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Grain markets had a volatile few weeks, with December corn rising to 449 cents then falling to a contract low of 346. The July WASDE report came in less bearish than expected, with 2016/17 corn ending stocks at 2.081 billion bushels versus a trade estimate of 2.205 billion.
A USDA balance sheet that was less bearish than feared supports corn prices, but weather forecasts continue to drive direction.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.