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An analysis from Schroders on March 23 asks whether the U.S. dollar has further to fall after its recent stability. It cites a widening current account deficit, a March 2021 trade deficit of $85 billion in January, and the need for foreign investors to keep buying U.S. bonds.
A weaker dollar would support dollar-priced commodity prices, while continued stability would keep import costs for buyers elevated.
schroders.comKristjan MeeMar 23, 2021After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
