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A WSJ piece notes that the dollar's decline has made commodities cheaper for many buyers, yet a broad commodity index including oil, metals and agricultural products has not risen correspondingly. The article questions the usual link between a weaker dollar and commodity prices.
The weak link suggests dollar moves alone may not reliably lift feed commodity prices, so buyers should weigh supply and demand fundamentals more heavily.
wsj.comSarah McFarlane, Pat MinczeskiSep 12, 2017After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
