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President Alberto Fernandez pledged in his inaugural congressional speech to promote value-added agricultural exports through tax incentives. He said export duties on processed products have been cut, with soymeal and soyoil duties at 31% against 33% for soybeans.
The government is also trying to rebuild revenue hit by the pandemic and inflation.
Lower export duties on meal and oil relative to beans could encourage more crushing and processed exports, supporting meal and oil supply. The effect on prices is modest and depends on implementation.
fastmarkets.comJuan Pedro TomasMar 2, 2021After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
