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The Profercy World Nitrogen Index fell for a third straight week as urea softened in most major regions. India booked about 800,000t for April shipment against 1.332m t offered, leaving near 1m t of Chinese availability.
Chinese prilled offers dropped to the high $320s/t fob, and Egyptian offers fell to at least $370/t fob.
Excess Chinese supply and India's smaller-than-offered purchase are pressuring global nitrogen prices lower, which lowers the input cost outlook for fertilizer-linked feed and grain production. Buyers are holding out for lower prices, so further softness is likely until the next tender.
profercy.comChris YearsleyApr 9, 2021After 81 past bearish trade events, Urea moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (28% higher; middle half -7.2% to +0.4%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
