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Wood Mackenzie said OPEC+ is holding to its plan to increase supply gradually over May, June and July, with Saudi Arabia easing its extra 1 million b/d cut. The firm noted risks from weaker demand in India and possible Iran nuclear deal supply returns.
A confirmed gradual supply increase is bearish for crude prices, which affect fuel and transport costs for feed. Demand weakness in India and a possible Iran deal are the main swing factors.
woodmac.comWood MackenzieApr 27, 2021After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
