
US crude fell more than 3% on June 3, 2024 after eight OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would begin phasing out 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts in October. About 500,000 barrels per day would return by December and 1.8 million by June 2025.
The plan can be reversed depending on market conditions.
The phased return of supply weighs on crude prices, which lowers energy and transport costs over time. Lower crude also reduces support for biofuel demand and vegetable oil prices.
After 215 past bearish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly reports US crude falling over 3% on June 3 as eight OPEC+ members announced they would begin unwinding 2.2 mb/d of voluntary cuts from October, a supply-expectation shock.