
Stocks struggled as Fed minutes showed a number of officials thought it might soon be appropriate to discuss tapering asset purchases, and a crypto market crash added pressure. Some energy and coal futures fell sharply in early trade.
Talk of tapering and risk-off sentiment strengthen the dollar and weigh on commodities, with energy and coal showing sharp declines. Feed-relevant impact is indirect and mostly through energy and currency channels.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.