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Dry weather and late planting are hurting Brazil's second (safrinha) corn crop, the country's worst drought in five years. Brazilian corn prices more than doubled in the past year to a record 100 reais per 60-kilo bag.
Lower Brazilian corn supply and high feed costs squeeze protein producers' margins and can lift global corn and meal prices, as happened after the 2016 drought.
agweb.comReutersMay 13, 2021After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
