USDA's June WASDE cut 2020/21 U.S. corn ending stocks by 150 million bushels, about 100 million more than analysts expected, on higher ethanol and export demand. The report also cut Brazil's corn crop and raised 2021 U.S. winter wheat production.
Corn stocks are now the tightest since 1995/96.
Tighter U.S. corn stocks driven by ethanol and export demand support feed grain prices. The reduced Brazilian crop adds to global feed supply concerns.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.