
S&P Global highlights European TTF gas prices soaring to levels not seen since 2008, driven by low storage and tight LNG and pipeline supply. Coal-to-gas switching prices hit record highs and EU carbon prices rallied to fresh highs.
Russian flows are set to fall during maintenance in July.
Surging European gas and carbon costs raise power and fertiliser production costs, supporting input prices for feed. The price impact on feed commodities is indirect.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.