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Oil market structure, with flat prices and spreads, is consistent with expectations that OPEC+ will raise production significantly through the rest of 2021 and early 2022. Stocks are expected to stay relatively low as demand rises.
Expected supply increases would cap crude price gains, which weighs on biofuel economics and feedstock demand. Lower energy costs ease pressure on freight and fertilizer.
reuters.comJohn KempJul 16, 2021After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
