
OPEC+ agreed a schedule of output increases of 400,000 barrels per day monthly from August at a special meeting in Vienna. The agreement sets new baseline levels and extends the alliance until at least the end of 2022.
Saudi and UAE officials said they were aligned on the deal.
Extending the alliance and adding a predictable schedule of barrels reduces uncertainty over supply. The added monthly volumes are a bearish influence on crude prices.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.