
OPEC+ will raise oil output by 188,000 barrels per day from September as part of a gradual unwinding of voluntary cuts first announced in April 2023. The increase is a small step in that process.
Higher OPEC+ output adds crude supply, which is mildly bearish for crude prices and can ease diesel and energy costs for feed production and transport.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.