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ING expects the yuan to shift from appreciation to mild depreciation until mid-2022 because of Delta-variant pressure and possible PBOC easing. It said the RRR cut and tighter Fed policy create conflicting pressures on markets.
The analysis projects USD/CNY recapturing the 6.50 level.
A weaker yuan raises the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for China and can slow buying. Expected easing could support domestic demand but adds volatility to import costs.
octaafrica.netAug 10, 2021After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
