Dry-bulk ship queues at ports reached a record of about 142 million dwt, with China accounting for more than a third and Chinese congestion hitting an all-time high of 52.7 million dwt. Capesize rates rose above $47,000 per day, and the Baltic supramax index passed $35,000 per day for the first time since 2015, with grain ships affected as Chinese silos are full.
Port congestion in China delays grain and oilseed deliveries and idles about 16% of the dry-bulk fleet, tightening vessel supply and raising freight costs. Full Chinese grain silos limit import capacity, which can weigh on demand for imported feed grains.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.