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MID-SHIP's June 5 2025 dry bulk report says the market remains consistent with early 2025 conditions, with a mature commodity cycle, moderate fleet growth and geopolitical uncertainty. The Brazil-to-China Capesize route rose above $24 per ton from $18.20 a month earlier, while Panamax rates fell from about $12,400 to $10,000 per day during May.
Higher Capesize and Panamax freight raises the landed cost of South American and US grain and oilseeds into Asia, which narrows FOB export margins and can pressure farm-gate prices in exporting regions.
midship.comFrankJun 5, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
