
A cow in Nuevo León, Mexico, tested positive for New World screwworm about 60 miles from the Texas border, according to a Texas Agriculture Commissioner news release. Texas ranchers were urged to monitor herds, and USDA sterile fly releases are ongoing from a facility near Edinburg.
A closer case increases outbreak risk for Texas herds, which could later reduce cattle supplies and support prices if it spreads into the U.S.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.