
The USDA confirmed New World screwworm fly in southern Texas, the first US appearance since 1966, after a calf near LaPryor tested positive. A quarantine zone was set up and sterile fly releases are planned to prevent establishment.
A confirmed US detection raises the risk of movement restrictions and herd losses in Texas, tightening cattle supply and adding price support for cattle futures.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.