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Bloomberg reports that China's record corn purchases, a key part of the US trade deal, may be slowing as a bumper domestic harvest approaches. Imports in 2020-21 were about 23 million tonnes, and analysts doubt China will meet the USDA's 26 million tonne forecast for 2021-22.
A larger Chinese harvest and weaker import demand reduce expected US corn export sales, which is bearish for corn futures. Falling Chinese corn prices also make imports less attractive.
scmp.comBloombergSep 1, 2021After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
