
Argentina's unofficial "blue" dollar hit an all-time high of 195 pesos on Friday, matching its record from a year earlier. The dollar rose 8.5 pesos over the week, and the gap with the official rate reached 90%.
The rise reflects uncertainty, high inflation and restrictions on access to dollars.
Persistent peso weakness can push Argentine oilseed exporters to sell faster, adding supply to world soymeal and soybean markets. The widening gap also points to ongoing policy stress that could trigger a devaluation.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.