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Commodity currencies such as the Canadian dollar were near multi-month highs on October 20 as oil prices reached multi-year peaks. The dollar index eased to 93.602, near its lowest since late September, while sterling held firm on expectations of a Bank of England rate hike.
Higher oil prices lift energy and transport costs for feed production and freight, and a weaker dollar can support dollar-priced commodity demand from importers. The effect is mainly through input costs.
cnbc.comReutersOct 21, 2021After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
