
Ukraine and Russia remain the largest sunflower oil exporters, with Ukraine dropping export restrictions while Russia keeps a floating export duty. UkrAgroConsult expects 2021/22 sunflower oil exports to rise 32% for Ukraine and 19% for Russia on a record global consumption outlook.
Expanded Black Sea sunflower oil export supply intensifies competition for buyers, which tends to pressure sunflower oil prices, while strong global demand limits the downside.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.